Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Paul Bradley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid
Paul Bradley
us

Paul Bradley

“The Gentleman”

23-10-0WelterweightPFL

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record23-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Paul BradleyNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny RobertsPaul Bradley
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
5 (28%)
Submission
7 (30%)
5 (28%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Roberts and Paul Bradley within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Paul Bradley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Paul Bradley 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.