Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Randall Wallace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record20-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamLast Stand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Randall WallaceNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
40%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.24
Takedown avg.
2.13
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
58%
Takedown defense
0%
0.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny RobertsRandall Wallace
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
5 (28%)
Submission
9 (45%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Randall Wallace61%
Danny Roberts 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randall Wallace a 61% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Randall Wallace 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.