Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Rodrigo Sezinando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"HeightTBD
74"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team McHaleTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
0
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny RobertsRodrigo Sezinando
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
5 (28%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (28%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Sezinando60%
Danny Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Sezinando a 60% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1621), separated by just 4 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 86%.

Danny Roberts carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.