Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Stan Dorsainvil

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Stan DorsainvilNow 1619
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny RobertsStan Dorsainvil
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
5 (28%)
Submission
3 (60%)
5 (28%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Stan Dorsainvil71%
Danny Roberts 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stan Dorsainvil a 71% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1619), separated by just 2 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Stan Dorsainvil enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Stan Dorsainvil 80%.

Stan Dorsainvil carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.