Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Wellington Turman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach 72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Wellington TurmanNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
40%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.24
Takedown avg.
1.55
10%
Takedown accuracy
21%
58%
Takedown defense
43%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Danny RobertsWellington Turman
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
5 (28%)
Submission
8 (44%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Wellington Turman66%
Danny Roberts 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wellington Turman a 66% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.

Danny Roberts carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.