Danny Sabatello vs Patchy Mix
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-1Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWNY MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny SabatelloPatchy Mix
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patchy Mix58%
Danny Sabatello 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Patchy Mix a 58% favorite over Danny Sabatello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Sabatello's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1739), separated by just 4 points.
Danny Sabatello enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Patchy Mix enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Sabatello finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Patchy Mix 75%.
Danny Sabatello and Patchy Mix share 3 common opponents: Shoko Sato, Raufeon Stots and Magomed Magomedov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
LossSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2023
WinDecision (Split) · 2024
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2022