Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Sabatello vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70.5"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReno Academy of Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SabatelloNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727
Payton TalbottNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
57%
Strike accuracy
55%
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
25%
Strike defense
46%
3
Takedown avg.
0.24
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
100%
Takedown defense
77%
1
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Danny SabatelloPayton Talbott
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (26%)
Submission
1 (9%)
9 (47%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Sabatello and Payton Talbott within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1742), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Sabatello enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Danny Sabatello finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.