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Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Sabatello vs Rustam Kerimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record22-3-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight147 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 32 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SabatelloNow 1745
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
Rustam KerimovNow 1741
If they win+16→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
25%
Strike defense
Not available
3
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
1
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Danny SabatelloRustam Kerimov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
5 (26%)
Submission
2 (9%)
9 (47%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Sabatello57%
Rustam Kerimov 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Sabatello a 57% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1741), separated by just 4 points.

Danny Sabatello enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Danny Sabatello finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.