Danny Silva vs Jonas Mågård
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"Reach72.8"
149 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny SilvaJonas Mågård
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Silva62%
Jonas Mågård 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Silva a 62% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1688), separated by just 2 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Danny Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jonas Mågård 50%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.