Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record18-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
CSWTeamBrothers of Life MMA

What's at stake

Kevin Vallejos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Danny Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny SilvaNow 1690
If they win+20→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1678
Kevin VallejosNow 1780
If they win+12→ 1792
If they lose-20→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.67
Sig. strikes / min
5.78
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
61%
Strike defense
57%
2
Takedown avg.
0.71
33%
Takedown accuracy
29%
82%
Takedown defense
83%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny SilvaKevin Vallejos
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (45%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Vallejos71%
Danny Silva 29%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Vallejos a 71% favorite over Danny Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Kevin Vallejos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1690, a 90-point edge.

Kevin Vallejos enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Danny Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Vallejos 83%.

Danny Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.