Danny Silva vs Lucas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70"Reach71"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSWTeamTeam Kioshi
What's at stake
Danny Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Lucas Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1704
If they lose-18→ 1672
If they win+18→ 1669
If they lose-14→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny SilvaLucas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Silva76%
Lucas Almeida 24%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Silva a 76% favorite over Lucas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Danny Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1651, a 39-point edge.
Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.