Combat Edge Intelligence

Dante Rivera vs Felipe Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dante RiveraNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Felipe RosaNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
25%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
17%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dante RiveraFelipe Rosa
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Rosa71%
Dante Rivera 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Rosa a 71% favorite over Dante Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

Felipe Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dante Rivera finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Rosa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.