Dante Rivera vs Matthew Riddle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Matthew Riddle
Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Dante Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matthew Riddle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Dante Rivera a 53% favorite over Matthew Riddle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Dante Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1583, a 23-point edge.
Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dante Rivera finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.
Dante Rivera and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: Dan Cramer.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.