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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dante Rivera vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD

What's at stake

Dante Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matthew Riddle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dante RiveraNow 1606
If they win+11→ 1617
If they lose-13→ 1593
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+26→ 1609
If they lose-22→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
53%
Strike accuracy
42%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
25%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
17%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Dante RiveraMatthew Riddle
155016002011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dante Rivera53%
Matthew Riddle 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Dante Rivera a 53% favorite over Matthew Riddle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Dante Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1583, a 23-point edge.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dante Rivera finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.

Dante Rivera and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: Dan Cramer.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision · 2010
Dan Cramer
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2009