Dante Rivera vs Neemias Santana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record8-3-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1653 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dante RiveraNeemias Santana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dante Rivera52%
Neemias Santana 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dante Rivera a 52% favorite over Neemias Santana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neemias Santana's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.
Dante Rivera finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Neemias Santana 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.