Combat Edge Intelligence

Danu Tărchilă vs Paul Redmond

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record15-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Thai Boxing ClubTeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danu TărchilăNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Paul RedmondNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danu TărchilăPaul Redmond
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
3 (38%)
Submission
5 (33%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Danu Tărchilă63%
Paul Redmond 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danu Tărchilă a 63% favorite over Paul Redmond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1569), separated by just 3 points.

Danu Tărchilă enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danu Tărchilă finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Paul Redmond 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.