Danu Tărchilă vs Tommy Hayden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Thai Boxing ClubTeamBangkok Fight Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danu TărchilăTommy Hayden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danu Tărchilă62%
Tommy Hayden 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danu Tărchilă a 62% favorite over Tommy Hayden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.
Danu Tărchilă enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danu Tărchilă finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Hayden 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.