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Combat Edge Intelligence

Danylo Kartavyi vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1494Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-1Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
-Reach-
246 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danylo KartavyiNow 1504
If they win+23→ 1527
If they lose-25→ 1479
Ryo SakaiNow 1494
If they win+12→ 1506
If they lose-12→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Danylo KartavyiRyo Sakai
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Danylo Kartavyi61%
Ryo Sakai 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Danylo Kartavyi a 61% favorite over Ryo Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1494), separated by just 10 points.

Danylo Kartavyi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.