Darian Weeks vs Ian Machado Garry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record17-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hulett House GymTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Ian Machado Garry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Darian Weeks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-8→ 1607
If they win+8→ 1823
If they lose-24→ 1791
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1775 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darian WeeksIan Machado Garry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry87%
Darian Weeks 13%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 87% favorite over Darian Weeks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Ian Machado Garry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1815 to 1615, a 200-point edge.
Darian Weeks enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Darian Weeks finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ian Machado Garry 47%.
Ian Machado Garry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.