Darian Weeks vs Ian Machado Garry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record17-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hulett House GymTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Ian Machado Garry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Darian Weeks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1618
If they lose-7→ 1586
If they win+7→ 1833
If they lose-25→ 1801
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darian WeeksIan Machado Garry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry92%
Darian Weeks 8%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 92% favorite over Darian Weeks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Ian Machado Garry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1826 to 1593, a 233-point edge.
Ian Machado Garry enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Darian Weeks finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ian Machado Garry 47%.
Ian Machado Garry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.