Combat Edge Intelligence

Darian Weeks vs Jeremiah Metcalf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hulett House GymTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darian WeeksNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Jeremiah MetcalfNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.49
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
30%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darian WeeksJeremiah Metcalf
1550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (13%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Darian Weeks59%
Jeremiah Metcalf 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darian Weeks a 59% favorite over Jeremiah Metcalf in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Jeremiah Metcalf enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Darian Weeks finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Metcalf 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.