Darius Parker vs Derek Downey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record11-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Upstate KarateTeamVictory MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1434 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darius ParkerDerek Downey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darius Parker57%
Derek Downey 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darius Parker a 57% favorite over Derek Downey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Downey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1524), separated by just 1 points.
Derek Downey 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.