Combat Edge Intelligence

Darius Patterson vs Kevin Rosas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFM TupeloTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Kevin Rosas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Darius Patterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darius PattersonNow 1571
If they win+28→ 1599
If they lose-20→ 1551
Kevin RosasNow 1628
If they win+20→ 1648
If they lose-28→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Darius PattersonKevin Rosas
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
4 (80%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Rosas72%
Darius Patterson 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Rosas a 72% favorite over Darius Patterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Kevin Rosas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1571, a 57-point edge.

Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Darius Patterson finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Rosas 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.