Darko Stosic vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record12-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76,0"Reach74"
241 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA Red StarTeamTobet Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darko StosicDiyar Nurgozhay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay62%
Darko Stosic 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 62% favorite over Darko Stosic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darko Stosic's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.
Darko Stosic enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Darko Stosic finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Diyar Nurgozhay 75%.
Darko Stosic carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.