Combat Edge Intelligence

Darko Stosic vs Jeremy Kimball

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76,0"Reach41,0"
241 lbsWeight213 lbs
MMA Red StarTeamTeam Wildman Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Darko Stosic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Kimball carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darko StosicNow 1701
If they win+9→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1686
Jeremy KimballNow 1614
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-9→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
58%
Strike defense
49%
3.42
Takedown avg.
1.41
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
83%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darko StosicJeremy Kimball
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
14 (74%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (24%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Darko Stosic75%
Jeremy Kimball 25%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Darko Stosic a 75% favorite over Jeremy Kimball in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Darko Stosic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1614, a 87-point edge.

Darko Stosic enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Darko Stosic finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Kimball 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.