Daron Cruickshank vs Henry Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-14-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Daron Cruickshank is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Henry Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1613
If they lose-13→ 1589
If they win+17→ 1587
If they lose-15→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daron CruickshankHenry Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daron Cruickshank53%
Henry Martinez 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Daron Cruickshank a 53% favorite over Henry Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Daron Cruickshank holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1570, a 32-point edge.
Henry Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daron Cruickshank finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Henry Martinez 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.