Combat Edge Intelligence

Daron Cruickshank vs John Makdessi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-14-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Daron Cruickshank carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daron CruickshankNow 1602
If they win+14→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1592
John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+14→ 1660
If they lose-18→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
5.52
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
57%
Strike defense
68%
2.04
Takedown avg.
0
42%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
86%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daron CruickshankJohn Makdessi
1600165020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

14 (61%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (30%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

John Makdessi70%
Daron Cruickshank 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes John Makdessi a 70% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1602, a 44-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daron Cruickshank finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.