Daron Cruickshank vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-14-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Daron Cruickshank carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-8→ 1594
If they win+8→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daron CruickshankPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder78%
Daron Cruickshank 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 78% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1602, a 132-point edge.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daron Cruickshank finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.