Combat Edge Intelligence

Daron Cruickshank vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde
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Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

23-14-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daron CruickshankNow 1603
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591
Tim WildeNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
2.04
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daron CruickshankTim Wilde
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (61%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
2 (9%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (30%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Wilde60%
Daron Cruickshank 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Wilde a 60% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Daron Cruickshank finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.