Darragh Kelly vs Edson Barboza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record24-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darragh KellyEdson Barboza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darragh Kelly60%
Edson Barboza 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 60% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.
Edson Barboza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.