Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Ieuan Davies

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1670Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBlackledge MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Ieuan DaviesNow 1672
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darragh KellyIeuan Davies
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
5 (56%)
Submission
6 (75%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darragh Kelly and Ieuan Davies within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1672), separated by just 2 points.

Ieuan Davies enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ieuan Davies 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.