Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Jesse Ronson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1672Good
Jesse Ronson
ca

Jesse Ronson

“The Body Snatcher”

28-12-0WelterweightBTC

1671Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record28-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAdrenaline Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Jesse RonsonNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Darragh KellyJesse Ronson
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
13 (46%)
5 (56%)
Submission
11 (39%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Darragh Kelly71%
Jesse Ronson 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 71% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Ronson 86%.

Darragh Kelly carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.