Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Gholar vs Predrag Božović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Team Zabjelo

What's at stake

Predrag Božović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Darrell Gholar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrell GholarNow 1494
If they win+26→ 1520
If they lose-22→ 1472
Predrag BožovićNow 1526
If they win+22→ 1548
If they lose-26→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrell GholarPredrag Božović
145015001550200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Predrag Božović63%
Darrell Gholar 37%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 63% favorite over Darrell Gholar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Predrag Božović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1494, a 32-point edge.

Darrell Gholar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.