Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Horcher vs Devin Powell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach41,0"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamNostos MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrell HorcherNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Devin PowellNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
39%
Strike defense
51%
0.35
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
0%
0.69
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Darrell HorcherDevin Powell
1600165020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (40%)
6 (43%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Powell53%
Darrell Horcher 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Powell a 53% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darrell Horcher's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1600), separated by just 5 points.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Devin Powell 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.