Darrell Horcher vs Jean Do Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72,0"ReachTBD
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamHeioxo MMA Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darrell HorcherJean Do Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darrell Horcher62%
Jean Do Santos 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darrell Horcher a 62% favorite over Jean Do Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jean Do Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jean Do Santos 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.