Darrell Horcher vs Scott Holtzman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,0"Reach69"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamShield Systems
What's at stake
Scott Holtzman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Darrell Horcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1592
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-19→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darrell HorcherScott Holtzman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Holtzman58%
Darrell Horcher 42%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Holtzman a 58% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Scott Holtzman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1605, a 59-point edge.
Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.
Darrell Horcher carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.