Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Horcher vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde
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Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrell HorcherNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Tim WildeNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
39%
Strike defense
TBD
0.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
47%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrell HorcherTim Wilde
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (43%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrell Horcher52%
Tim Wilde 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrell Horcher a 52% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Tim Wilde carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.