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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Horcher vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde
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Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrell HorcherNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Tim WildeNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
0.35
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
47%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.69
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Darrell HorcherTim Wilde
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (43%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrell Horcher64%
Tim Wilde 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrell Horcher a 64% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Tim Wilde carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.