Darrell Montague vs John Dodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record24-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
TBDReach66,0"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Millennia MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Darrell Montague carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1605
If they win+9→ 1701
If they lose-15→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Dodson61%
Darrell Montague 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes John Dodson a 61% favorite over Darrell Montague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1618, a 74-point edge.
Darrell Montague enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darrell Montague finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, John Dodson 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.