Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Montague vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record36-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Millennia MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Darrell Montague carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrell MontagueNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-8→ 1610
Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1800
If they win+6→ 1806
If they lose-18→ 1782

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
26%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
53%
Strike defense
64%
0.72
Takedown avg.
1.61
25%
Takedown accuracy
41%
33%
Takedown defense
61%
1.44
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Darrell MontagueKyoji Horiguchi
1600165017001750180020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
15 (42%)
5 (38%)
Submission
6 (17%)
3 (23%)
Decision
15 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoji Horiguchi92%
Darrell Montague 8%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 92% favorite over Darrell Montague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1618, a 182-point edge.

Darrell Montague enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Montague finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Kyoji Horiguchi 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.