Darrell Montague vs Willie Gates
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record12-13-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach39,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Darrell Montague is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Willie Gates carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1627
If they lose-23→ 1595
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-7→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darrell MontagueWillie Gates
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darrell Montague71%
Willie Gates 29%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Darrell Montague a 71% favorite over Willie Gates in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Darrell Montague holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1466, a 152-point edge.
Darrell Montague enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Willie Gates enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Darrell Montague finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Willie Gates 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.