Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Darrick Minner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record26-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darrick Minner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1671
Darrick MinnerNow 1623
If they win+14→ 1637
If they lose-10→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
38%
Strike accuracy
66%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.28
51%
Strike defense
36%
2.87
Takedown avg.
2.40
20%
Takedown accuracy
73%
56%
Takedown defense
67%
1.07
Submission avg.
2.71

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsDarrick Minner
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
6 (21%)
Submission
22 (85%)
14 (48%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins75%
Darrick Minner 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 75% favorite over Darrick Minner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1623, a 62-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Darrick Minner 88%.

Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.