Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Darrick Minner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record26-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamGlory MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Darrick Minner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+9→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1684
Darrick MinnerNow 1624
If they win+15→ 1639
If they lose-9→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
38%
Strike accuracy
66%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.28
52%
Strike defense
36%
2.86
Takedown avg.
2.40
35%
Takedown accuracy
73%
56%
Takedown defense
67%
1.08
Submission avg.
2.71

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsDarrick Minner
16501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
6 (21%)
Submission
22 (85%)
14 (48%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins64%
Darrick Minner 36%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 64% favorite over Darrick Minner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1624, a 75-point edge.

Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Darrick Minner 88%.

Darren Elkins and Darrick Minner share 1 common opponent: Ryan Hall.

Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) · 2019
Ryan Hall
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021