Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Dennis Bermudez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71"Reach66,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamLong Island MMA

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dennis Bermudez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1671
Dennis BermudezNow 1629
If they win+14→ 1643
If they lose-10→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
38%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.87
Takedown avg.
3.89
20%
Takedown accuracy
40%
56%
Takedown defense
83%
1.07
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsDennis Bermudez
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (18%)
14 (48%)
Decision
10 (59%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins70%
Dennis Bermudez 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 70% favorite over Dennis Bermudez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1629, a 56-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Bermudez 41%.

Darren Elkins carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.