Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Ezra Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Ezra ElliottNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
0
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.87
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.07
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsEzra Elliott
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
6 (21%)
Submission
5 (63%)
14 (48%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ezra Elliott62%
Darren Elkins 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ezra Elliott a 62% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darren Elkins's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1681), separated by just 4 points.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ezra Elliott enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ezra Elliott 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.