Darren Elkins vs Hacran Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record27-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach69,0"
145 lbsWeight162 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1672
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-11→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren ElkinsHacran Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Elkins73%
Hacran Dias 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 73% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1646, a 39-point edge.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Hacran Dias 48%.
Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.