Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Ibragim Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record7-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Ibragim IbragimovNow 1688
If they win+24→ 1712
If they lose-24→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.87
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.07
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsIbragim Ibragimov
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (43%)
14 (48%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Ibragim Ibragimov59%
Darren Elkins 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ibragim Ibragimov a 59% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ibragim Ibragimov enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ibragim Ibragimov 86%.

Darren Elkins carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.