Darren Elkins vs Jonathan Pearce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Pearce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1672
If they win+18→ 1670
If they lose-14→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren ElkinsJonathan Pearce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Elkins70%
Jonathan Pearce 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 70% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1652, a 33-point edge.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.