Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'1"
71"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darren ElkinsJulian Erosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julian Erosa57%
Darren Elkins 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Julian Erosa a 57% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1695), separated by just 12 points.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.
Julian Erosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.