Darren Elkins vs Kevin Aguilar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren ElkinsKevin Aguilar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Elkins60%
Kevin Aguilar 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 60% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.