Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Eduardo Garagorri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamFronteira Fight Team

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Eduardo Garagorri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+8→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1683
Eduardo GaragorriNow 1583
If they win+21→ 1604
If they lose-11→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
38%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
52%
Strike defense
58%
2.86
Takedown avg.
0.48
35%
Takedown accuracy
100%
56%
Takedown defense
62%
1.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsEduardo Garagorri
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
6 (21%)
Submission
6 (40%)
14 (48%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins66%
Eduardo Garagorri 34%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 66% favorite over Eduardo Garagorri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1583, a 116-point edge.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Garagorri 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.