Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Mirsad Bektić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Mirsad BektićNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.87
Takedown avg.
3.98
20%
Takedown accuracy
53%
56%
Takedown defense
92%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsMirsad Bektić
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (23%)
14 (48%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins59%
Mirsad Bektić 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 59% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1677), separated by just 8 points.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.