Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darren Elkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-10→ 1675
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.87
Takedown avg.
1.84
20%
Takedown accuracy
34%
56%
Takedown defense
47%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsRicardo Lamas
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
6 (21%)
Submission
5 (25%)
14 (48%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lamas59%
Darren Elkins 41%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 59% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1685, a 45-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.