Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Rob Whiteford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Whiteford

Rob Whiteford

“The Hammer”

17-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamDinky Ninjas

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Rob Whiteford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+6→ 1705
If they lose-18→ 1681
Rob WhitefordNow 1509
If they win+36→ 1545
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
52%
Strike defense
63%
2.86
Takedown avg.
1.90
35%
Takedown accuracy
30%
56%
Takedown defense
45%
1.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsRob Whiteford
150016001700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
6 (21%)
Submission
1 (6%)
14 (48%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins78%
Rob Whiteford 22%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 78% favorite over Rob Whiteford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1509, a 190-point edge.

Rob Whiteford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Rob Whiteford 53%.

Darren Elkins and Rob Whiteford share 1 common opponent: Daniel Pineda.

Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Daniel Pineda
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2014