Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Rob Whiteford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Whiteford
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Rob Whiteford

“The Hammer”

17-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamDinky Ninjas

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Rob Whiteford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+6→ 1691
If they lose-18→ 1667
Rob WhitefordNow 1509
If they win+35→ 1544
If they lose-13→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
51%
Strike defense
63%
2.87
Takedown avg.
1.90
20%
Takedown accuracy
30%
56%
Takedown defense
45%
1.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsRob Whiteford
1500160017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
6 (21%)
Submission
1 (6%)
14 (48%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins79%
Rob Whiteford 21%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 79% favorite over Rob Whiteford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1509, a 176-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob Whiteford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Rob Whiteford 53%.

Darren Elkins and Rob Whiteford share 1 common opponent: Daniel Pineda.

Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Daniel Pineda
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2014